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UAV Market Changes Highlighted in Report

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Market Intel Group
: 20 May, 2010  (New Product)
Global market outlook to 2015 predicts loss of market share for predator class unmanned aerial vehicles
Market Intel Group (MiG) latest report: “Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) for Counter-Insurgency Global Market & Technologies Outlook 2010-2015” documents the impending rise in truly persistent Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). That significant change to the UAV market may also coincide with a significant reduction in NATO robotic aircraft operations, should current withdrawal policy actually work. Either of those changes will reduce demand for Predator-class aircraft.

Predators, Reapers, Herons, etc. fly for approximately a day between 15,000 and 30,000 feet. While they are famous for missile strikes, they are most commonly used for reconnaissance. That surveillance role will partially migrate to a new class of persistent UAVs that are being prototyped to fly near 60,000' for at least a month, if not a year. The Predators etc. will certainly continue their role as weapons platforms and will also certainly follow cues from the persistent UAVs to then closely examine small areas, but those roles will not justify the currently planned number of aircraft. And, at perhaps as little as one-tenth the flight operations cost per hour, persistent UAVs will easily displace Predators in budget priorities.

Current US policy calls for withdrawing from Near East operations within two years. That assumption forms this 'UAVs for Counter-Insurgency' report's Scenario III. In that scenario, Predator-class and other UAVs will see a significant decline in orders. The drop will be stunning in some market segments, especially given the competition from persistent UAVs at about the same time.

The new 'UAVs for Counter-Insurgency' forecast also highlights two other UAV segments that will expand regardless of what happens to today's markets. Those growing sub-markets are primed for commercial applications, which is also the topic for MiG's next forecast in this UAV series.

In addition to the “High Resolution” triple scenario analysis, the new report provides highly desirable insight in these areas:

• Global General and Counter-Insurgency UAV Procurement Forecast by Region - 2010-2015
• Global Counter-Insurgency - UAV Procurement Forecast by Type - 2010-2015
• Global Counter-Insurgency UAV - Operations & Maintenance Forecast by Technology - 2010-2015
• Global Counter-Insurgency - Areas of Concern & Types of Threats
• Counter-Insurgency UAV - Operating Concept
• Counter-Insurgency UAVs - Sensor & Radio Coverage
• How to Sell Counter-Insurgency UAVs
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